América RN vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
IMP
0 - 0
ARN
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 2
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
1 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
SAL
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SDJ
0 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |