América RN vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
VAS
3 - 1
ARN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
CUI
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ARN
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARN
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
FOR
15%
25%
61%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 3
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
AGU
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |