América RN vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ARN
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 2
TRE
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
ARN
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
9 - 1
CAU
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAU
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 4
TRE
25%
26%
50%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |