América RN vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
ARN
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CUI
2 - 2
ARN
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ARN
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIL
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 4
BOT
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 2
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 2
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |