América RN vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARN
17%
25%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ARN
0 - 2
CON
34%
24%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
IMP
0 - 0
ARN
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
ARN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARN
17%
25%
59%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
IMP
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 3
BEL
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |