América RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 2
FEL
79%
14%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
GLO
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARN
24%
26%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 2
ARN
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
TUB
2 - 0
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
FEL
3 - 1
BAR
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
POT
0 - 0
BAR
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 7
ABC
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |