América RN vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 3
COR
76%
16%
9%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
4 - 0
CRB
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |