América RN vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 2
ARN
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
11%
20%
70%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 4
ARN
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
ARN
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 1
AVA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 2
AVA
15%
21%
65%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 1
BRU
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |