América RN vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
ARN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 0
ABC
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 1
ARN
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
0 - 0
BOA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
ARN
2 - 0
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
1 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FFL
1 - 3
AVA
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
AVA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
PAY
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |