Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-3
América RN vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
1 - 1
ABC
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
POT
2 - 3
ARN
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
COR
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 2
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
ATL
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |