América RN vs ASSU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARN
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
1 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
GLO
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ASS
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |