América RN vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 0
ARN
7%
18%
75%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
SOU
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
POT
0 - 3
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 0
FEL
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 1
ARN
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 0
ICA
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 0
AFO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AFO
1 - 1
ISC
66%
20%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 1
AFO
21%
24%
54%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AFO
3 - 0
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |