América RN vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
ARN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 0
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
OES
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
ARN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
BOA
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
BRA
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |