América RN vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARN
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
4 - 1
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 2
COT
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PPE
3 - 0
ARN
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
ICA
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
DUQ
3 - 2
POR
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |