América RJ vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SEC
1 - 2
AME
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
AME
2 - 0
AFC
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
AME
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
AME
4 - 1
POR
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 0
TIG
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 0
VAS
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
VAS
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |