América RJ vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1977 |
COR
0 - 0
AME
56%
26%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
AME
0 - 0
SCI
34%
28%
39%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 3
AME
25%
25%
49%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
AME
1 - 0
FLU
81%
13%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 0
AME
20%
29%
52%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SCI
1 - 4
SAO
55%
26%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
SAO
5 - 0
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
COR
2 - 0
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
SAO
4 - 0
CRB
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPO
63%
23%
14%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |