América RJ vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AME
2 - 1
CFC
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
USC
4 - 2
AME
44%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AME
2 - 0
VOL
57%
21%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 0
RIO
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
BFC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |