América RJ vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
AME
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
FRI
54%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
BON
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 2
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
37%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
BON
28%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BON
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |