América RJ vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 3
RES
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
BON
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 1
AME
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 0
AME
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
CAB
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
TIG
52%
27%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
POR
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
BON
50%
27%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |