América RJ vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
AME
2 - 0
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AME
4 - 0
CIG
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
PER
2 - 2
OLA
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
0 - 1
PER
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
3 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
1 - 1
OLA
28%
22%
51%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |