América RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AME
0 - 0
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
POR
3 - 2
NOV
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |