América RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GOY
0 - 1
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
AME
1 - 1
RES
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
RES
42%
27%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 0
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
GOY
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
AUD
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |