América RJ vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
RES
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
PAD
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
AME
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
AME
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |