América RJ vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
JEC
4 - 1
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
GOI
3 - 2
AME
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
ATP
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
AME
3 - 1
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
PAY
0 - 1
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
GRE
0 - 2
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
COR
1 - 2
GRE
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
SER
0 - 0
GRE
14%
26%
61%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
GRE
5 - 1
JEC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
GRE
5 - 2
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |