América RJ vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
AME
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 0
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRI
47%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
2 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |