América RJ vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 0
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
DUQ
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 3
BAN
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
AVA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
RES
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOT
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |