América RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
GOY
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 3
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
GOY
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BON
1 - 1
RES
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
GOY
2 - 2
BON
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BON
1 - 3
GOY
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
BON
0 - 2
CAB
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RES
2 - 4
BON
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |