América RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 1
AME
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 0
AME
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AME
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BON
1 - 1
MAC
18%
24%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RES
2 - 0
BON
68%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
BON
50%
27%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BON
1 - 3
VAS
7%
17%
76%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BON
1 - 2
BOA
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |