Rio Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
América RJ vs Belford Roxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
AME
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 3
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
FRI
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
CAB
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belford Roxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
AME
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
4 - 1
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
GOY
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
6 - 0
TIG
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ADB
2 - 4
BEL
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |