América RJ vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
CAB
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 9
VAS
17%
23%
60%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VOL
2 - 0
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 1
AME
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 1
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLA
1 - 0
BAN
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |