América RJ vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
AME
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
SFC
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
ADC
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ADC
0 - 2
CAB
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADC
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |