América Quito vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
AME
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
FAM
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
EME
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 0
UCE
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 1
UCE
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
UCE
2 - 0
CUE
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |