América Quito vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
9º
51
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
OCT
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
MAN
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CSV
3 - 0
AME
21%
28%
51%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
GUA
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
22%
28%
51%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 1
CUN
67%
22%
12%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
INJ
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |