América Quito vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
9º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
INJ
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
IMB
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
IMB
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
CUN
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |