América Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
9º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
AME
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 3
AME
25%
28%
48%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
1 - 1
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUN
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAC
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 5
LIG
26%
26%
47%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |