América Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
AME
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CUE
2 - 0
AME
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
LIG
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
OLM
1 - 0
AME
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
MUS
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 0
LIG
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 2
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
MAC
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |