América Quito vs Libertad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
IMB
2 - 1
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
AME
2 - 2
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 4
INJ
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
PQU
4 - 0
AME
21%
28%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
GUA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
OLM
0 - 2
CAL
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
PQU
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
IMB
2 - 1
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
OLM
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |