América Quito vs Chaco Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1972 |
AME
3 - 0
OPE
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 2
AME
14%
22%
65%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
OPE
4 - 2
AME
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
AME
0 - 0
BSC
41%
22%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BSC
2 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chaco Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1972 |
BSC
3 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 2
AME
14%
22%
65%
|
15 | 62 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 2
BSC
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 72 | 57 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 71 | 57 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
OPE
5 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
6%
|
14 | 71 | 57 | 0 |