América Quito vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
EME
3 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
AME
4 - 0
LDU
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AME
1 - 1
AUC
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TEC
3 - 2
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AME
2 - 2
BSC
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAM
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
30%
26%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |