América Quito vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BSC
2 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
AME
1 - 3
LIG
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
3 - 0
AME
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 1
AME
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
LIG
4 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
BSC
2 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1971 |
UNI
3 - 1
BSC
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1971 |
EST
0 - 1
BSC
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
BSC
1 - 0
UNI
50%
22%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
BSC
0 - 1
EST
37%
23%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |