América de Pedrinhas vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
79%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+433%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América de Pedrinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 3
SER
11%
17%
73%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 0
AMP
74%
17%
10%
|
6 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
2 - 4
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 4
AFP
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
3 - 1
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |