América PE vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 0
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
OFC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
OFC
0 - 0
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 2
AME
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
ARA
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
PET
2 - 1
SER
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
SAL
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
POR
45%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |