América PE vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
AME
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
GLO
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 2
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAY
4 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |