América PE vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AME
1 - 1
POR
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
ACA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
PES
2 - 4
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
CEN
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |