América PE vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
PER
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
YPI
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
2 - 4
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
YPI
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |