América PE vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
2 - 0
AME
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AME
1 - 1
VCR
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AME
2 - 1
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
YPI
3 - 0
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
POR
4 - 1
YPI
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
YPI
1 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CEN
4 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
VCR
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |