América PE vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
AME
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
AME
0 - 1
ACA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PES
0 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
35%
26%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CEN
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |