América PE vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
AME
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
ARA
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
YPI
0 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
11%
18%
70%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CAB
2 - 0
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |