América PE vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
37%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
SPO
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
ARA
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
PET
0 - 3
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 2
PET
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
PET
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PET
2 - 2
POR
27%
24%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |