América PE vs Pesqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AME
1 - 0
YPI
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
POR
32%
26%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
2 - 0
AME
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
POR
4 - 5
PES
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PES
1 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 0
PES
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
PES
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
PES
0 - 2
CEN
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |